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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

data as of 2026-05-18 05:20 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.1K−$70K$74K
Holders439+100339
Trades3.4K+7282.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.4%
−17.2 pp
61.6%
Avg ROI6.1%
+6.3 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×41.92
+41.08×
×0.85
Top-20 avg cost vs price×95.84
+94.97×
×0.86
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.3K
−$19.9K
$23.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.00
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.9%
−115.4 pp
16.4%
Underwater %99.2%
+97.0 pp
2.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.2%
−4.2 pp
49.4%
Bot %43.1%
−29.0 pp
72.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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