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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

data as of 2026-04-09 21:54 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$35K$47K
Holders351−74425
Trades5.2K+7174.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.7%
−17.8 pp
60.4%
Avg ROI19.7%
+19.8 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.73
+13.05×
×0.68
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.73
+12.03×
×0.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.6K
−$20.0K
$31.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.03
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.0%
−132.5 pp
40.5%
Underwater %97.0%
+97.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.7%
−2.6 pp
79.3%
Bot %76.4%
−3.2 pp
79.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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