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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

data as of 2026-02-28 04:54 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K−$9.9K$26K
Holders234−204438
Trades4.2K−1784.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.2%
+2.7 pp
49.4%
Avg ROI-0.3%
+0.2 pp
-0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.36
−31.39×
×31.75
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.37
−31.62×
×31.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.2K
−$12.1K
$25.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.04
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL168.5%
+265.2 pp
-96.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.7 pp
99.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %84.1%
+0.7 pp
83.5%
Bot %84.6%
+1.3 pp
83.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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