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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-15 19:28 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K+$8.3K$8.9K
Holders222−39261
Trades1.6K−2791.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.1%
+0.5 pp
50.5%
Avg ROI1.1%
−1.5 pp
2.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.73
−7.01×
×7.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.74
−7.33×
×8.07
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14.2K
+$5.7K
$8.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.09
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL37.6%
+125.4 pp
-87.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.9 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %46.4%
+1.6 pp
44.8%
Bot %74.0%
+6.1 pp
67.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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