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United States to win the second half?

data as of 2026-06-13 03:07 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.6K−$6.0K$7.6K
Holders50+2030
Trades140+6134
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate28.5%
−41.5 pp
70.0%
Avg ROI1.6%
−0.9 pp
2.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×412.59
+412.00×
×0.59
Top-20 avg cost vs price×323.98
+323.34×
×0.63
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$979
$981
Recent buyer dominance0.63
−0.08
0.71
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.7%
−160.5 pp
60.8%
Underwater %98.9%
+94.1 pp
4.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %29.7%
+27.0 pp
2.8%
Bot %31.1%
+20.2 pp
11.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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