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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

data as of 2026-06-30 06:27 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Down🗓️ settles Jun 30, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
UP
61¢
DOWN
35¢
UP
61¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.0K−$1.1K$2.2K
Holders20−424
Trades189−102291
DOWN
35¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.2%
−2.8 pp
49.0%
Avg ROI5.8%
+5.1 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.52
−1.13×
×1.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.56
−1.06×
×1.61
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5
−$36
$41
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL79.7%
+117.6 pp
-37.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.9 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %18.9%
−27.5 pp
46.4%
Bot %24.3%
−30.8 pp
55.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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