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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9AM ET

data as of 2025-09-21 13:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.6K−$6.7K$15K
Holders60+357
Trades1.1K+79997
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.6%
+8.3 pp
45.3%
Avg ROI4.8%
+2.2 pp
2.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.60
+4.11×
×0.49
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.53
+4.05×
×0.48
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$207
+$20
$187
Recent buyer dominance0.81
+0.17
0.64
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-78.1%
−184.9 pp
106.9%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %78.3%
+8.4 pp
69.9%
Bot %79.6%
+9.0 pp
70.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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