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Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 16?

data as of 2026-07-14 05:03 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 16, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
2¢
NO
98¢
YES
2¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2−$92$94
Holders3+21
Trades3+21
NO
98¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate22.8%
−54.8 pp
77.6%
Avg ROI46.6%
+37.2 pp
9.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$92
$94
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %20.9%
+20.9 pp
0.0%
Bot %20.9%
+20.9 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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