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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-21 03:45 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$35K−$3.6K$39K
Holders478−36514
Trades5.9K−1396.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.7%
+0.7 pp
50.1%
Avg ROI0.5%
−1.1 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.46
−27.86×
×28.32
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.48
−28.01×
×28.49
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$31.8K
−$4.1K
$35.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.00
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL108.0%
+204.4 pp
-96.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.5 pp
99.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %32.2%
−4.7 pp
36.9%
Bot %52.6%
−7.3 pp
59.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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