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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6AM ET

data as of 2026-02-20 11:42 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$14K$26K
Holders188+38150
Trades3.0K+1.2K1.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.7%
−11.7 pp
61.4%
Avg ROI7.3%
+3.2 pp
4.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.42
+12.74×
×0.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.96
+12.29×
×0.67
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$182
−$1.1K
$1.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.02
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.0%
−143.2 pp
50.3%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %55.4%
−19.4 pp
74.7%
Bot %55.1%
−18.7 pp
73.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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