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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

data as of 2026-02-04 23:45 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$57K+$5.0K$52K
Holders318−180498
Trades7.5K+337.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate65.5%
+32.7 pp
32.7%
Avg ROI1.6%
−12.3 pp
13.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.43
−53.38×
×53.80
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.51
−50.97×
×51.48
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$19.2K
−$237
$19.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.03
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL107.4%
+205.3 pp
-97.9%
Underwater %6.0%
−89.5 pp
95.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %75.3%
−0.4 pp
75.7%
Bot %74.8%
−0.1 pp
74.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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