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Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?

data as of 2026-01-21 19:59 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$69K+$3.0K$66K
Holders142+18124
Trades3.6K+1.7K1.9K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate72.0%
+14.4 pp
57.6%
Avg ROI12.8%
+11.6 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.73
+1.12×
×0.61
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.47
+0.80×
×0.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$23
+$530
−$507
Recent buyer dominance0.82
+0.56
0.26
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-31.2%
−82.2 pp
51.0%
Underwater %83.4%
+83.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %4.3%
+2.7 pp
1.6%
Bot %2.8%
+1.2 pp
1.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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