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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

data as of 2026-05-01 18:20 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$26K+$15K$11K
Holders318−50368
Trades3.5K−1593.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate60.8%
+12.5 pp
48.4%
Avg ROI7.9%
−0.7 pp
8.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.75
−1.34×
×2.09
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.85
−1.11×
×1.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$21.8K
+$12.4K
$9.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
+0.01
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL25.3%
+71.9 pp
-46.6%
Underwater %25.3%
−56.3 pp
81.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.5%
+8.0 pp
65.5%
Bot %74.2%
+7.9 pp
66.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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