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Will "A Lien" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?

data as of 2025-03-02 22:26 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3.4K−$2.3K$5.8K
Holders69−1281
Trades532+224308
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.8%
−10.3 pp
63.0%
Avg ROI2.4%
+2.0 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.82
−0.78×
×1.60
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.76
−0.90×
×1.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
+$0
$0
Recent buyer dominance0.50
+0.50
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL37.4%
+80.9 pp
-43.5%
Underwater %0.1%
−99.9 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %8.6%
−20.1 pp
28.8%
Bot %6.4%
−15.0 pp
21.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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