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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

data as of 2026-05-12 19:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$19K+$10K$8.9K
Holders304−37341
Trades2.8K−2063.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.8%
+6.9 pp
45.9%
Avg ROI0.2%
−1.0 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.64
−16.59×
×17.23
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.64
−15.08×
×15.72
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.0K
+$4.6K
$8.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.02
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL55.5%
+149.3 pp
-93.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.1 pp
99.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %63.2%
+0.7 pp
62.5%
Bot %72.4%
+3.6 pp
68.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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