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Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of July 2026?

data as of 2026-07-15 02:08 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
90¢
NO
10¢
YES
90¢
YesY-NNo
Position$152+$139$13
Holders4−15
Trades909
NO
10¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.5%
−10.1 pp
68.7%
Avg ROI14.4%
+6.1 pp
8.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9
+$8
$1
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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