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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

data as of 2026-07-07 22:36 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.3K+$6.0K$2.2K
Holders173−31204
Trades781−140921
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.1%
+4.5 pp
47.7%
Avg ROI0.7%
+0.6 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.86
−2.95×
×3.82
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.85
−3.40×
×4.25
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.3K
+$6.1K
$2.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.02
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL19.9%
+98.0 pp
-78.2%
Underwater %1.3%
−95.7 pp
97.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %49.3%
+19.0 pp
30.3%
Bot %66.0%
+16.3 pp
49.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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