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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

data as of 2026-04-15 14:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$24K−$17K$41K
Holders508+60448
Trades5.3K−7366.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.7%
−17.4 pp
68.1%
Avg ROI11.6%
+9.3 pp
2.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×25.00
+24.50×
×0.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×21.98
+21.35×
×0.63
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$22.5K
−$4.1K
$26.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.06
0.84
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.3%
−160.6 pp
65.3%
Underwater %85.8%
+78.0 pp
7.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %62.9%
−4.3 pp
67.2%
Bot %65.6%
−7.6 pp
73.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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