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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

data as of 2026-04-03 15:30 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$44K+$21K$23K
Holders414−117531
Trades5.6K−315.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate78.4%
+32.8 pp
45.6%
Avg ROI1.0%
−7.5 pp
8.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.53
−2.83×
×3.35
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.69
−2.59×
×3.29
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$38.1K
+$15.8K
$22.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.03
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL61.3%
+129.4 pp
-68.1%
Underwater %2.9%
−91.0 pp
93.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %58.9%
−15.6 pp
74.4%
Bot %63.9%
−10.9 pp
74.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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