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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

data as of 2026-07-17 23:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$14K$26K
Holders399+45354
Trades3.9K+9752.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.0%
−0.1 pp
51.2%
Avg ROI1.1%
−0.8 pp
2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×16.80
+16.11×
×0.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.99
+16.33×
×0.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.4K
−$13.2K
$24.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.05
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.2%
−141.4 pp
47.2%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %29.7%
−9.7 pp
39.4%
Bot %55.5%
+3.1 pp
52.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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