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Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 44m?

data as of 2026-04-18 03:04 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$6.9K+$6.7K$247
Holders41−1960
Trades213−12225
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate76.0%
+22.5 pp
53.5%
Avg ROI0.7%
−16.9 pp
17.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.93
−19.90×
×20.83
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.95
−16.58×
×17.53
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$314
+$311
$3
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.13
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL6.4%
+100.3 pp
-94.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.4 pp
98.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %11.8%
−35.7 pp
47.5%
Bot %11.8%
−36.5 pp
48.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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