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Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?

data as of 2026-02-17 17:35 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Aug 1, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
75¢
NO
25¢
YES
75¢
YesY-NNo
Position$935+$151$785
Holders33−740
Trades535+338197
NO
25¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.1%
−16.7 pp
59.8%
Avg ROI-1.0%
−18.5 pp
17.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.93
−0.31×
×1.24
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.90
−0.54×
×1.43
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$30
−$19
−$11
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−0.48
0.48
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL20.2%
+50.9 pp
-30.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.9 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %4.5%
−33.9 pp
38.4%
Bot %4.5%
−32.9 pp
37.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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