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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

data as of 2026-03-02 18:15 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10K−$69K$80K
Holders349+13336
Trades5.1K−4235.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.7%
−25.6 pp
67.4%
Avg ROI17.6%
+15.4 pp
2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×21.17
+20.39×
×0.77
Top-20 avg cost vs price×19.97
+19.18×
×0.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$750
−$22.5K
$23.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.67
−0.19
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.7%
−121.2 pp
26.5%
Underwater %96.3%
+94.9 pp
1.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %67.8%
−2.4 pp
70.3%
Bot %64.4%
−4.5 pp
68.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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