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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2PM ET

data as of 2025-10-12 16:53 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$68K+$58K$9.3K
Holders122+5765
Trades2.7K+4162.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate71.0%
+32.6 pp
38.5%
Avg ROI2.7%
+0.3 pp
2.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.51
−42.12×
×42.63
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.51
−37.55×
×38.06
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.1K
+$1.0K
$1.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.70
−0.17
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL94.9%
+192.3 pp
-97.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−95.0 pp
95.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %9.7%
−48.6 pp
58.2%
Bot %9.6%
−48.9 pp
58.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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