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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

data as of 2026-07-16 01:54 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$5.8K$18K
Holders407+89318
Trades2.7K+2462.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.7%
−1.1 pp
48.8%
Avg ROI1.0%
−0.9 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×38.18
+37.63×
×0.54
Top-20 avg cost vs price×35.99
+35.43×
×0.56
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.2K
−$5.9K
$17.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.00
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.1%
−173.1 pp
76.1%
Underwater %94.5%
+94.3 pp
0.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %40.6%
+0.3 pp
40.3%
Bot %56.0%
−8.0 pp
63.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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