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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

data as of 2026-02-20 22:19 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$22K+$15K$7.3K
Holders226−190416
Trades3.0K−9784.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.7%
+38.2 pp
21.4%
Avg ROI0.6%
+26.7 pp
-26.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.75
−14.30×
×15.05
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.76
−11.20×
×11.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16.1K
+$9.7K
$6.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.86
+0.01
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL32.6%
+126.1 pp
-93.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−93.6 pp
93.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %70.9%
+24.8 pp
46.1%
Bot %69.9%
+25.4 pp
44.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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