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Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?

data as of 2025-11-14 22:11 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$261−$21K$21K
Holders45+441
Trades175+20155
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.8%
−22.2 pp
72.0%
Avg ROI4.5%
+4.2 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.33
+11.35×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.06
+17.11×
×0.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$750
$753
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.03
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.8%
−100.5 pp
5.7%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %13.1%
−59.9 pp
73.0%
Bot %13.1%
−79.9 pp
93.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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