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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

data as of 2026-07-12 14:19 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K+$6.0K$10K
Holders216−84300
Trades2.2K−3492.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.7%
−0.2 pp
51.9%
Avg ROI2.1%
−0.6 pp
2.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.72
−8.17×
×8.89
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.72
−8.07×
×8.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.4K
+$6.0K
$9.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.04
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL39.8%
+128.4 pp
-88.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.3 pp
98.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %49.8%
+2.1 pp
47.7%
Bot %76.1%
+8.0 pp
68.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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