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Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 7PM ET

data as of 2025-08-21 16:39 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.0K−$16K$24K
Holders47+1730
Trades722+128594
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.5%
−22.7 pp
66.2%
Avg ROI3.3%
+0.8 pp
2.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.54
+1.69×
×0.85
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.36
+1.55×
×0.81
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$155
−$181
$336
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.14
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-57.2%
−80.6 pp
23.4%
Underwater %99.8%
+97.4 pp
2.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.3%
−37.6 pp
94.9%
Bot %57.2%
−36.4 pp
93.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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