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Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 21?

data as of 2026-04-21 05:25 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$107−$3.0K$3.1K
Holders54−2579
Trades324+70254
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate33.7%
−56.7 pp
90.4%
Avg ROI6.6%
+3.4 pp
3.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.18
+2.22×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.93
+1.95×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$49
$49
Recent buyer dominance0.65
−0.35
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-66.4%
−68.8 pp
2.4%
Underwater %97.6%
+97.3 pp
0.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %47.1%
+44.8 pp
2.3%
Bot %50.6%
+48.3 pp
2.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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