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Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $35,000 (HIGH) in December?

data as of 2026-02-02 01:33 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Dec 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
8¢
NO
91¢
YES
8¢
YesY-NNo
Position$24−$99$122
Holders13+85
Trades37+2710
NO
91¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.9%
−11.8 pp
66.7%
Avg ROI2.0%
−4.4 pp
6.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.95
−0.05×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.16
+0.16×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$21
$21
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-14.0%
−14.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %32.3%
+32.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %4.1%
+4.1 pp
0.0%
Bot %4.1%
+4.1 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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