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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on May 17?

data as of 2026-05-15 04:39 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2−$1.1K$1.1K
Holders11−920
Trades40+238
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.1%
−57.7 pp
94.8%
Avg ROI-3.3%
−4.5 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.00
+8.01×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.55
+7.55×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$103
$104
Recent buyer dominance1.00
−0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-88.3%
−89.1 pp
0.8%
Underwater %94.3%
+94.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %5.7%
+5.7 pp
0.0%
Bot %5.7%
+5.7 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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