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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-21 16:28 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.5K−$4.0K$6.5K
Holders80+278
Trades726+91635
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.6%
−4.8 pp
52.4%
Avg ROI1.2%
−0.8 pp
2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.29
+13.50×
×0.79
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.53
+12.76×
×0.77
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$985
−$2.9K
$3.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.04
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.7%
−123.0 pp
30.4%
Underwater %98.9%
+98.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.9%
−13.7 pp
59.6%
Bot %61.6%
−18.6 pp
80.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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