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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11AM ET

data as of 2025-09-18 16:01 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.1K−$8.3K$17K
Holders73+172
Trades1.5K+361.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.6%
−8.5 pp
54.0%
Avg ROI4.0%
+3.9 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×39.50
+38.90×
×0.60
Top-20 avg cost vs price×36.85
+36.21×
×0.64
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.9K
−$740
$2.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.66
−0.19
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.2%
−159.6 pp
62.4%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %77.8%
+0.7 pp
77.1%
Bot %78.3%
+0.6 pp
77.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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