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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

data as of 2026-07-01 12:03 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K−$11K$26K
Holders317−10327
Trades2.6K+3632.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.9%
−2.4 pp
51.3%
Avg ROI-0.2%
−2.6 pp
2.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×16.00
+15.36×
×0.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.52
+14.86×
×0.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14.9K
−$7.9K
$22.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.00
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.1%
−146.8 pp
53.7%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %46.0%
−1.7 pp
47.6%
Bot %55.4%
−6.2 pp
61.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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