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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

data as of 2026-07-13 04:04 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$6.8K$18K
Holders324−14338
Trades2.8K+1592.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.4%
−4.5 pp
52.9%
Avg ROI2.7%
+1.0 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×35.82
+35.24×
×0.59
Top-20 avg cost vs price×26.45
+25.86×
×0.60
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.2K
−$5.7K
$15.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.05
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.5%
−156.6 pp
60.1%
Underwater %92.8%
+92.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %49.4%
+13.0 pp
36.4%
Bot %63.6%
+3.6 pp
60.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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