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Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?

data as of 2026-02-20 16:45 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Dec 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
21¢
NO
49¢
YES
21¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3.9K−$1.0K$4.9K
Holders65+2045
Trades505+129376
NO
49¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.2%
+46.2 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI1.7%
+1.7 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.04
+0.04×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.03
+0.03×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$1
$1
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-3.1%
−3.1 pp
0.0%
Underwater %84.8%
+84.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Bot %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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