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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

data as of 2026-07-26 21:49 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$39K+$33K$5.6K
Holders430+37393
Trades2.5K−1882.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate68.5%
+7.0 pp
61.4%
Avg ROI1.5%
−6.7 pp
8.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.93
−6.70×
×7.63
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.93
−6.61×
×7.55
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$36.1K
+$30.6K
$5.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.05
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL8.2%
+98.1 pp
-90.0%
Underwater %31.5%
−61.2 pp
92.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.4%
+12.4 pp
22.9%
Bot %53.2%
+17.5 pp
35.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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