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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

data as of 2026-01-11 07:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$23K−$21K$44K
Holders251−7258
Trades4.2K+1174.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.1%
−4.6 pp
58.8%
Avg ROI-0.0%
−0.2 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×36.05
+35.52×
×0.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×38.22
+37.68×
×0.54
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.3K
+$1.4K
$7.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.06
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.4%
−177.5 pp
80.0%
Underwater %99.2%
+99.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.7%
+8.3 pp
73.4%
Bot %82.4%
+9.0 pp
73.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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