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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

data as of 2026-05-14 09:28 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.8K−$8.2K$13K
Holders179+34145
Trades1.3K+131.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.5%
−23.1 pp
65.6%
Avg ROI3.2%
+2.3 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×33.44
+32.83×
×0.61
Top-20 avg cost vs price×29.70
+29.06×
×0.64
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$997
−$3.6K
$4.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.03
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.4%
−153.0 pp
56.6%
Underwater %94.8%
+94.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %74.4%
+0.9 pp
73.5%
Bot %84.0%
+4.0 pp
79.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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