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Will Ramaswamy place 2nd in the 2024 Iowa Caucus?

data as of 2024-01-16 01:59 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$55K−$962K$1.02M
Holders82+280
Trades523−149672
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.6%
−5.5 pp
63.0%
Avg ROI-16.2%
−23.0 pp
6.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×15.43
+14.48×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.26
+15.31×
×0.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$22
+$998
−$976
Recent buyer dominance0.58
+0.12
0.46
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.8%
−98.7 pp
4.9%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %39.4%
+7.6 pp
31.7%
Bot %15.0%
−15.8 pp
30.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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