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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

data as of 2026-07-18 06:09 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.2K+$2.1K$6.1K
Holders296+47249
Trades1.5K−711.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.5%
+3.6 pp
46.9%
Avg ROI1.5%
−1.1 pp
2.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.53
−15.52×
×16.05
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.55
−13.53×
×14.08
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.8K
+$2.1K
$5.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.06
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL83.3%
+176.0 pp
-92.7%
Underwater %1.6%
−92.6 pp
94.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %33.8%
+0.2 pp
33.6%
Bot %58.6%
+9.4 pp
49.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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