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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

data as of 2026-07-08 19:09 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.8K−$20K$28K
Holders317−34351
Trades2.5K+3302.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.4%
−3.0 pp
51.4%
Avg ROI0.5%
+0.2 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×28.31
+27.55×
×0.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×28.28
+27.51×
×0.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.5K
−$11.6K
$19.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.01
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.2%
−125.5 pp
29.3%
Underwater %96.8%
+96.8 pp
0.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.2%
+6.3 pp
38.9%
Bot %62.7%
+0.9 pp
61.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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