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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

data as of 2026-07-19 08:10 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K−$16K$30K
Holders453+129324
Trades3.8K+8243.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.5%
−2.9 pp
57.3%
Avg ROI6.8%
+4.6 pp
2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×31.56
+30.92×
×0.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×31.61
+30.93×
×0.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.9K
−$16.0K
$25.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.00
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.0%
−143.0 pp
47.0%
Underwater %96.8%
+96.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %21.9%
−1.8 pp
23.7%
Bot %32.5%
−7.4 pp
40.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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