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Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?

data as of 2026-06-06 05:30 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 2, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
20¢
NO
80¢
YES
20¢
YesY-NNo
Position$5−$295$299
Holders8+35
Trades11+56
NO
80¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate76.4%
+24.2 pp
52.2%
Avg ROI16.7%
+18.6 pp
-1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$3
$4
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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