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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

data as of 2026-03-05 21:28 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$35K+$18K$17K
Holders342−24366
Trades3.8K−7464.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.5%
+13.0 pp
46.5%
Avg ROI3.1%
+4.7 pp
-1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.79
−22.21×
×23.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.79
−29.76×
×30.55
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.3K
+$8.8K
$543
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.10
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL26.1%
+122.3 pp
-96.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−96.4 pp
96.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.8%
+17.9 pp
51.0%
Bot %68.5%
+18.0 pp
50.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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