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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

data as of 2026-02-19 07:04 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K−$10K$25K
Holders539+282257
Trades4.2K+3303.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate33.8%
−22.1 pp
55.9%
Avg ROI6.9%
+8.3 pp
-1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×33.70
+33.02×
×0.68
Top-20 avg cost vs price×32.42
+31.76×
×0.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.5K
−$6.0K
$19.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.08
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.7%
−148.5 pp
51.8%
Underwater %99.0%
+99.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %58.9%
−15.4 pp
74.3%
Bot %58.8%
−15.3 pp
74.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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