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Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6PM ET

data as of 2025-08-18 20:20 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K−$12K$28K
Holders46−1056
Trades822+28794
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.6%
−13.7 pp
64.3%
Avg ROI4.1%
−14.4 pp
18.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×67.88
+67.40×
×0.48
Top-20 avg cost vs price×60.20
+59.79×
×0.41
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$495
−$438
$932
Recent buyer dominance0.80
+0.07
0.73
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.3%
−244.4 pp
146.1%
Underwater %97.4%
+97.2 pp
0.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %79.2%
+26.0 pp
53.2%
Bot %62.6%
+29.3 pp
33.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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