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Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?

data as of 2026-03-06 10:48 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3.4K−$636K$639K
Holders573−1.1K1.7K
Trades21K+13K8.4K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.2%
−17.0 pp
53.1%
Avg ROI7.6%
+2.3 pp
5.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.45
−0.58×
×1.03
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.61
−0.42×
×1.03
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$73
−$3.9K
$4.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.56
−0.39
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL51.1%
+54.3 pp
-3.2%
Underwater %22.0%
−77.5 pp
99.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %85.8%
−8.7 pp
94.5%
Bot %84.5%
−9.9 pp
94.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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