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Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on May 13?

data as of 2026-05-13 06:38 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$137−$4.4K$4.5K
Holders64−468
Trades454+204250
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.0%
−16.5 pp
67.5%
Avg ROI18.1%
+18.0 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.08
+2.11×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.81
+2.84×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$200
$203
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.12
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-74.7%
−78.0 pp
3.3%
Underwater %96.6%
+92.5 pp
4.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %17.4%
+13.5 pp
3.9%
Bot %16.7%
+13.4 pp
3.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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